Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 77.4%

CBJ: 22.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.95

CBJ: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	25	23	2	92.0%	1.72	0	-0.28
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	38	35	3	92.1%	4.08	2	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	1.31
1	CBJ	16	0	0.67
2	MIN	14	1	1.25
2	CBJ	15	0	0.83
3	MIN	20	0	1.33
3	CBJ	4	0	0.17
4	MIN	2	0	0.19
4	CBJ	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.9 - 2.3