Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-03-27 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NSH: 59.9%

PHI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.57

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 53%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	19	4	82.6%	1.76	0	-2.24
PHI	M. Jones	35	30	5	85.7%	3.99	1	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	24	1	1.99
1	PHI	7	0	0.40
2	NSH	17	0	1.17
2	PHI	12	0	0.74
3	NSH	15	0	0.84
3	PHI	14	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0