Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-27 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 54.4%

COL: 45.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.12

COL: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

C. Talbot

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	42	40	2	95.2%	3.26	2	1.26
COL	D. Kuemper	29	26	3	89.7%	2.67	2	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs COL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	0.74
1	COL	16	2	1.52
2	MIN	12	0	0.76
2	COL	17	0	0.75
3	MIN	17	1	1.13
3	COL	17	0	0.99
4	MIN	1	0	0.04
4	COL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4