Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

MIN: 57.1%

PHI: 42.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.09

PHI: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 49%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	33	32	1	97.0%	4.32	3	3.32
PHI	M. Jones	37	33	4	89.2%	3.10	4	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MIN at home vs PHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	MIN
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	2	1.39
1	PHI	13	0	0.83
2	MIN	14	2	1.24
2	PHI	5	0	0.61
3	MIN	14	0	0.48
3	PHI	23	3	2.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6