Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-03-30 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (SO)

Win Probability

BUF: 48.0%

WPG: 52.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.84

WPG: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

BUF

C. Anderson

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	30	25	5	83.3%	5.91	4	0.91
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	40	36	4	90.0%	6.09	3	2.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs WPG: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-05	WPG 4 - 1 BUF	WPG	BUF
2025-12-01	BUF 5 - 1 WPG	BUF	BUF
2025-03-23	WPG 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	WPG
2024-12-05	BUF 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-03	BUF 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	20	0	1.30
1	WPG	8	0	0.56
2	BUF	14	1	1.43
2	WPG	13	1	1.60
3	BUF	12	0	0.91
3	WPG	14	0	0.87
4	BUF	7	0	0.54
4	WPG	4	0	0.31
5	BUF	3	2	1.92
5	WPG	3	3	2.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3