New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-03-30 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New York Rangers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 67.2%

NYR: 32.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.39

NYR: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	34	29	5	85.3%	3.85	3	-1.15
NYR	A. Georgiev	26	22	4	84.6%	1.54	0	-2.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NYR: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.52
1	NYR	9	0	0.46
2	DET	13	0	0.50
2	NYR	16	1	1.54
3	DET	8	0	0.38
3	NYR	18	2	1.68
4	DET	2	0	0.14
4	NYR	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6