San Jose Sharks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-03-30 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 49.4%

SJS: 50.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.02

SJS: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	41	39	2	95.1%	4.05	2	2.05
SJS	J. Reimer	24	19	5	79.2%	3.31	3	-1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • ARI at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	6	0	0.58
1	SJS	17	1	1.46
2	ARI	13	2	1.50
2	SJS	15	1	0.89
3	ARI	14	1	1.23
3	SJS	24	0	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9