Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-03-31 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

NYI: 51.2%

CBJ: 48.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.22

CBJ: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	32	30	2	93.8%	2.67	0	0.67
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	36	31	5	86.1%	4.66	3	-0.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NYI at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	2	1.87
1	CBJ	11	0	0.41
2	NYI	16	0	1.17
2	CBJ	16	0	1.10
3	NYI	13	1	1.62
3	CBJ	16	0	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0