Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-03-31 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CAR: 68.5%

MTL: 31.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.92

MTL: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	32	0	100.0%	2.45	2	2.45
MTL	J. Allen	44	40	4	90.9%	5.06	4	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs MTL: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.28
1	MTL	10	0	0.56
2	CAR	33	2	2.66
2	MTL	11	0	0.65
3	CAR	6	2	1.12
3	MTL	18	2	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.9 - 2.2