Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-03-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 71.1%

LAK: 28.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.50

LAK: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 51%

CGY

J. Markstrom

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	34	31	3	91.2%	4.17	2	1.17
LAK	C. Petersen	31	29	2	93.5%	3.03	0	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs LAK: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	0	0.64
1	LAK	13	1	0.99
2	CGY	16	0	1.27
2	LAK	15	0	0.94
3	CGY	15	0	0.93
3	LAK	12	0	0.75
4	CGY	1	0	0.02
4	LAK	8	0	0.50
5	CGY	3	0	0.17
5	LAK	2	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6