Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-04-01 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

BUF: 55.0%

NSH: 45.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.26

NSH: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

BUF

C. Anderson

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	25	22	3	88.0%	1.88	0	-1.12
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	31	4	88.6%	3.31	2	-0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	BUF
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	NSH
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	NSH
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	0	0.91
1	NSH	11	0	0.84
2	BUF	15	1	0.94
2	NSH	8	0	0.38
3	BUF	14	1	1.45
3	NSH	14	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9