Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-01 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 51.9%

ANA: 48.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.47

ANA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	37	32	5	86.5%	3.51	1	-1.49
ANA	A. Stolarz	22	22	0	100.0%	1.55	0	1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	16	0	0.54
1	ANA	16	0	1.14
2	ARI	12	0	0.70
2	ANA	15	0	0.71
3	ARI	12	0	0.31
3	ANA	17	1	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0