Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SEA: 45.6%

VGK: 54.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.96

VGK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	26	21	5	80.8%	3.81	4	-1.19
VGK	L. Thompson	28	26	2	92.9%	2.60	0	0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.79
1	VGK	10	0	0.73
2	SEA	13	0	0.67
2	VGK	12	2	1.16
3	SEA	17	0	1.14
3	VGK	11	2	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1