Columbus Blue Jackets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-04-02 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

BOS: 65.9%

CBJ: 34.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.81

CBJ: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	24	22	2	91.7%	2.74	4	0.74
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	42	37	5	88.1%	5.91	8	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs CBJ: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	21	4	1.98
1	CBJ	7	2	0.74
2	BOS	16	1	1.46
2	CBJ	21	2	1.62
3	BOS	17	3	2.47
3	CBJ	6	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9