Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-04-02 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 52.1%

MIN: 47.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.18

MIN: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	19	16	3	84.2%	3.49	4	0.49
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	38	37	1	97.4%	2.73	1	1.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	MIN
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	0.80
1	MIN	16	2	1.88
2	CAR	18	1	1.29
2	MIN	11	0	0.75
3	CAR	15	0	0.65
3	MIN	7	2	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1