Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-02-15 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NSH: 48.3%

WSH: 51.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.18

WSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WSH

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	24	4	85.7%	3.37	3	-0.63
WSH	I. Samsonov	34	33	1	97.1%	2.84	0	1.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	24	0	1.02
1	WSH	13	2	1.35
2	NSH	14	0	0.97
2	WSH	17	0	0.87
3	NSH	17	0	0.85
3	WSH	10	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0