New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 56.4%

NYI: 43.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.27

NYI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 58%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

NYI

C. Schneider

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	29	25	4	86.2%	2.17	3	-1.83
NYI	C. Schneider	30	27	3	90.0%	3.73	3	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs NYI: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	0	1.19
1	NYI	19	2	1.00
2	NJD	12	0	0.52
2	NYI	10	0	0.53
3	NJD	23	3	2.02
3	NYI	8	1	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9