Arizona Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-03 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 60.9%

ARI: 39.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.61

ARI: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

CHI

K. Lankinen

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	35	32	3	91.4%	2.89	0	-0.11
ARI	K. Vejmelka	31	29	2	93.5%	3.00	1	1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CHI at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	1.06
1	ARI	10	0	0.54
2	CHI	12	0	0.47
2	ARI	18	0	1.16
3	CHI	15	1	1.19
3	ARI	11	0	0.56
4	CHI	4	0	0.27
4	ARI	7	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9