Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-04-03 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

VAN: 44.7%

VGK: 55.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.22

VGK: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	30	27	3	90.0%	2.35	2	-0.65
VGK	R. Lehner	29	27	2	93.1%	2.83	2	0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • VAN at home vs VGK: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	0.85
1	VGK	18	0	1.16
2	VAN	10	0	0.51
2	VGK	6	0	0.41
3	VAN	18	1	1.37
3	VGK	11	0	0.22
4	VAN	2	0	0.10
4	VGK	5	2	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7