Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-04-03 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.4%

EDM: 48.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.94

EDM: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	46	40	6	87.0%	3.61	0	-2.39
EDM	M. Smith	32	31	1	96.9%	2.64	2	1.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	0	0.61
1	EDM	19	0	1.19
2	ANA	12	0	0.33
2	EDM	22	0	1.13
3	ANA	22	2	1.70
3	EDM	22	0	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.6