Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-03 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SEA: 59.2%

DAL: 40.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.28

DAL: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

C. Driedger

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	30	29	1	96.7%	3.36	2	2.36
DAL	Jake Oettinger	29	25	4	86.2%	3.53	2	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • SEA at home vs DAL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.68
1	DAL	13	0	0.87
2	SEA	19	1	1.65
2	DAL	12	1	0.97
3	SEA	9	1	1.20
3	DAL	21	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4