Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-04-05 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 48.1%

BOS: 51.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.15

BOS: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	50	47	3	94.0%	4.15	2	1.15
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	24	5	82.8%	2.90	4	-2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • DET at home vs BOS: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	17	0	0.67
1	BOS	23	0	1.19
2	DET	14	3	1.29
2	BOS	19	0	1.14
3	DET	8	1	0.94
3	BOS	21	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2