Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2022-04-05 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 6 - 2 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 44.0%
MIN: 56.0%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.07
MIN: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
MIN
Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | NSH | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.899 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 49 | 47 | 2 | 95.9% | 4.64 | 1 | 2.64 |
| MIN | Marc-Andre Fleury | 33 | 27 | 6 | 81.8% | 4.27 | 3 | -1.73 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs MIN: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NSH 2 - 1 MIN | NSH | MIN |
| 2026-02-04 | NSH 5 - 6 MIN | MIN | NSH |
| 2025-12-23 | MIN 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-04 | MIN 3 - 2 NSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-18 | NSH 6 - 2 MIN | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 20 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 1 | MIN | 16 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 2 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | MIN | 23 | 0 | 1.70 |
| 3 | NSH | 14 | 3 | 2.28 |
| 3 | MIN | 20 | 0 | 1.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 6 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.