Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-05 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 49.0%

EDM: 51.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.22

EDM: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

J. Reimer

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	24	22	2	91.7%	1.56	0	-0.44
EDM	M. Smith	32	31	1	96.9%	2.68	2	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.45
1	EDM	14	0	0.50
2	SJS	15	0	0.81
2	EDM	14	0	0.46
3	SJS	18	2	1.35
3	EDM	8	0	0.28
4	SJS	1	0	0.07
4	EDM	2	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0