Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-04-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 60.6%

VAN: 39.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.18

VAN: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

VGK

R. Lehner

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	R. Lehner	31	26	5	83.9%	2.75	2	-2.25
VAN	Thatcher Demko	34	33	1	97.1%	3.39	2	2.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • VGK at home vs VAN: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	2	1.10
1	VAN	17	2	1.35
2	VGK	13	0	0.62
2	VAN	11	0	0.69
3	VGK	20	0	1.66
3	VAN	9	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2