Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-04-06 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 43.4%
CGY: 56.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.63
CGY: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
A. Stolarz
CGY
J. Markstrom
| Stat | ANA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | A. Stolarz | 28 | 24 | 4 | 85.7% | 3.93 | 2 | -0.07 |
| CGY | J. Markstrom | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 3.50 | 2 | 1.50 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | ANA 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | CGY |
| 2026-03-26 | CGY 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-03-01 | ANA 3 - 2 CGY | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-25 | CGY 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-09 | ANA 4 - 3 CGY | ANA | CGY |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1 | CGY | 14 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | ANA | 11 | 1 | 0.89 |
| 2 | CGY | 16 | 1 | 1.31 |
| 3 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 3 | CGY | 12 | 1 | 1.83 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Calgary Flames
Expected: 2.6 - 3.2
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