Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-04-07 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CAR: 66.6%

BUF: 33.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.97

BUF: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

A. Raanta

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	21	18	3	85.7%	2.80	2	-0.20
BUF	C. Anderson	32	27	5	84.4%	4.50	2	-0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BUF: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.23
1	BUF	8	1	0.49
2	CAR	13	0	0.91
2	BUF	15	0	1.54
3	CAR	16	2	2.36
3	BUF	11	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9