Vancouver Canucks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-07 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 62.4%

VAN: 37.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.29

VAN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

ARI

H. Sateri

VAN

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	H. Sateri	32	27	5	84.4%	3.59	2	-1.41
VAN	J. Halak	28	27	1	96.4%	2.63	0	1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs VAN: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-10	VAN 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	VAN
2024-04-03	ARI 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	ARI
2024-01-18	VAN 2 - 1 ARI	VAN	VAN
2023-04-13	ARI 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-03-16	ARI 3 - 2 VAN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	11	0	0.73
1	VAN	15	1	0.97
2	ARI	13	0	0.95
2	VAN	13	0	0.88
3	ARI	14	0	0.95
3	VAN	17	1	1.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8