Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-04-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 51.5%

EDM: 48.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.27

EDM: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

LAK

J. Quick

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	30	27	3	90.0%	2.97	1	-0.03
EDM	M. Smith	33	31	2	93.9%	3.56	6	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	8	0	0.66
1	EDM	12	0	0.84
2	LAK	19	3	1.57
2	EDM	12	1	0.85
3	LAK	16	3	1.33
3	EDM	14	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2