Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-04-08 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 43.9%
MIN: 56.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.00
MIN: 3.41
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
V. Husso
MIN
C. Talbot
| Stat | STL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | V. Husso | 38 | 35 | 3 | 92.1% | 2.84 | 0 | -0.16 |
| MIN | C. Talbot | 28 | 24 | 4 | 85.7% | 1.98 | 0 | -2.02 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | STL 6 - 3 MIN | STL | STL |
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1 - 3 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-10-09 | STL 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6 - 4 STL | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 16 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 1 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | STL | 6 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 3 | STL | 10 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 3 | MIN | 19 | 0 | 1.12 |
| 4 | STL | 1 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 4 | MIN | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4
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