Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-04-08 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 43.8%

COL: 56.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.77

COL: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	37	32	5	86.5%	3.66	1	-1.34
COL	P. Francouz	43	39	4	90.7%	4.51	4	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	2	2.07
1	COL	19	0	1.09
2	WPG	17	0	0.86
2	COL	15	0	1.12
3	WPG	19	2	1.54
3	COL	11	1	1.07
4	WPG	1	0	0.04
4	COL	7	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2