Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

PHI: 48.1%

ANA: 51.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.15

ANA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

PHI

M. Jones

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	M. Jones	34	29	5	85.3%	3.31	2	-1.69
ANA	A. Stolarz	33	30	3	90.9%	2.12	1	-0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • PHI at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	ANA
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-11-10	ANA 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	19	1	1.06
1	ANA	11	1	0.70
2	PHI	6	0	0.28
2	ANA	24	0	1.35
3	PHI	17	0	0.78
3	ANA	13	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1