New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

STL: 59.7%

NYI: 40.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.03

NYI: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	31	30	1	96.8%	3.00	1	2.00
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	31	25	6	80.6%	3.96	1	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	STL
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	STL
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	0	1.10
1	NYI	12	1	1.02
2	STL	22	1	2.29
2	NYI	15	0	0.77
3	STL	7	0	0.57
3	NYI	21	0	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7