San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VAN: 60.5%

SJS: 39.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.34

SJS: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	37	35	2	94.6%	3.72	0	1.72
SJS	K. Kahkonen	39	35	4	89.7%	5.58	5	1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SJS: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	2	1.68
1	SJS	17	0	1.35
2	VAN	18	0	1.49
2	SJS	15	0	0.95
3	VAN	16	3	2.40
3	SJS	15	0	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9