Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 4 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 50.6%

CGY: 49.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.04

CGY: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	29	25	4	86.2%	4.58	5	0.58
CGY	J. Markstrom	28	27	1	96.4%	2.39	1	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	SEA
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.72
1	CGY	14	1	0.97
2	SEA	10	0	0.61
2	CGY	15	1	1.28
3	SEA	13	1	1.06
3	CGY	14	3	2.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 4 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4