Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-04-10 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

PIT: 69.2%

NSH: 30.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.47

NSH: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

PIT

C. DeSmith

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	C. DeSmith	35	33	2	94.3%	2.86	0	0.86
NSH	D. Rittich	30	27	3	90.0%	2.54	0	-0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PIT at home vs NSH: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PIT	9	0.45
1	NSH	15	1.15
2	PIT	16	0.97
2	NSH	15	1.07
3	PIT	18	0.75
3	NSH	16	0.64
4	PIT	3	0.36
4	NSH	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6