Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 6 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 60.4%

DAL: 39.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.10

DAL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

CHI

K. Lankinen

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	30	24	6	80.0%	2.84	1	-3.16
DAL	Jake Oettinger	40	36	4	90.0%	2.62	1	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	DAL
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	1.03
1	DAL	12	1	1.11
2	CHI	18	0	0.89
2	DAL	16	0	1.00
3	CHI	16	0	0.70
3	DAL	13	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0