St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 61.5%

STL: 38.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.75

STL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	26	4	86.7%	3.55	2	-0.45
STL	V. Husso	41	39	2	95.1%	2.80	1	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • BOS at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	STL
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	19	1	1.07
1	STL	19	1	1.30
2	BOS	15	0	0.94
2	STL	10	0	0.95
3	BOS	17	0	0.78
3	STL	6	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0