Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2022-04-12 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 68.3%
ANA: 31.7%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.20
ANA: 2.50
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | FLA | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 24 | 22 | 2 | 91.7% | 2.00 | 0 | -0.00 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 55 | 52 | 3 | 94.5% | 5.38 | 1 | 2.38 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs ANA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | ANA 7 - 3 FLA | ANA | FLA |
| 2025-10-28 | FLA 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | FLA |
| 2025-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-18 | FLA 3 - 0 ANA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-15 | FLA 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 19 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 1 | ANA | 8 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | FLA | 25 | 0 | 1.66 |
| 2 | ANA | 18 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 3 | FLA | 25 | 0 | 2.06 |
| 3 | ANA | 5 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 4 | FLA | 6 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 4 | ANA | 1 | 0 | 0.06 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
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