Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYR: 44.9%

CAR: 55.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.11

CAR: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	25	21	4	84.0%	2.74	1	-1.26
CAR	Frederik Andersen	30	28	2	93.3%	2.84	1	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	0	0.91
1	CAR	13	0	0.70
2	NYR	11	0	0.90
2	CAR	14	0	0.49
3	NYR	13	1	1.03
3	CAR	11	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2