San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks (SO)

Win Probability

CHI: 56.9%

SJS: 43.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.20

SJS: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

K. Lankinen

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	40	36	4	90.0%	3.20	1	-0.80
SJS	J. Reimer	35	30	5	85.7%	4.32	1	-0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs SJS: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	0	0.87
1	SJS	15	0	0.88
2	CHI	16	0	1.18
2	SJS	9	1	0.95
3	CHI	9	0	0.88
3	SJS	19	0	0.91
4	CHI	5	0	0.35
4	SJS	3	0	0.25
5	CHI	3	1	1.04
5	SJS	3	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8