Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2022-04-14 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 48.8%
EDM: 51.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.76
EDM: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
EDM
M. Smith
| Stat | NSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 32 | 28 | 4 | 87.5% | 2.63 | 2 | -1.37 |
| EDM | M. Smith | 30 | 30 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.81 | 1 | 2.81 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs EDM: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | EDM 3 - 1 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-01-13 | NSH 4 - 3 EDM | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-06 | EDM 6 - 2 NSH | EDM | NSH |
| 2024-11-14 | EDM 3 - 2 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-10-31 | NSH 1 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 9 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 1 | EDM | 19 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 2 | EDM | 13 | 2 | 1.16 |
| 3 | NSH | 18 | 1 | 1.38 |
| 3 | EDM | 8 | 0 | 0.70 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
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