Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 62.3%

SEA: 37.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.63

SEA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

CGY

J. Markstrom

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	22	19	3	86.4%	2.73	0	-0.27
SEA	C. Driedger	31	26	5	83.9%	3.38	3	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	SEA
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.94
1	SEA	14	0	0.85
2	CGY	12	1	1.14
2	SEA	11	0	1.14
3	CGY	12	2	1.30
3	SEA	9	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9