New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-04-13 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 56.1%

NYR: 43.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.05

NYR: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

PHI

F. Sandstrom

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	F. Sandstrom	34	30	4	88.2%	3.76	2	-0.24
NYR	A. Georgiev	28	28	0	100.0%	2.25	0	2.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	15	0	0.86
1	NYR	18	0	1.10
2	PHI	15	0	0.92
2	NYR	16	0	1.08
3	PHI	9	0	0.46
3	NYR	10	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5