Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-04-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.1%

MTL: 46.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.33

MTL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	21	20	1	95.2%	2.51	2	1.51
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	31	26	5	83.9%	3.07	1	-1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	0	1.03
1	MTL	7	2	1.16
2	CBJ	16	1	1.30
2	MTL	12	0	0.49
3	CBJ	12	0	0.74
3	MTL	15	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2