New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 39.3%

NJD: 60.7%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.22

NJD: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

COL

P. Francouz

NJD

A. Hammond

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	27	26	1	96.3%	2.58	2	1.58
NJD	A. Hammond	30	27	3	90.0%	2.35	0	-0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • COL at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	0	0.84
1	NJD	23	2	1.53
2	COL	18	0	1.01
2	NJD	9	0	0.24
3	COL	7	0	0.51
3	NJD	13	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1