Arizona Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

VAN: 62.8%

ARI: 37.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.46

ARI: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	22	21	1	95.5%	2.38	0	1.38
ARI	K. Vejmelka	27	20	7	74.1%	3.69	4	-3.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-10	VAN 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	VAN
2024-04-03	ARI 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	ARI
2024-01-18	VAN 2 - 1 ARI	VAN	VAN
2023-04-13	ARI 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-03-16	ARI 3 - 2 VAN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	0.88
1	ARI	11	0	0.43
2	VAN	18	2	1.88
2	ARI	11	0	1.00
3	VAN	10	1	0.93
3	ARI	10	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3