Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-04-15 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

FLA: 62.1%

WPG: 37.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.55

WPG: 1.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	30	1	96.8%	3.17	5	2.17
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	43	37	6	86.0%	4.25	3	-1.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	1.10
1	WPG	8	2	0.83
2	FLA	15	1	1.30
2	WPG	24	3	1.97
3	FLA	20	2	1.85
3	WPG	8	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 1.9