Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-04-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Minnesota Wild (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 40.7%

MIN: 59.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.33

MIN: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

V. Husso

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	36	31	5	86.1%	3.08	0	-1.92
MIN	C. Talbot	30	24	6	80.0%	3.06	1	-2.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	1	1.11
1	MIN	17	0	0.89
2	STL	17	0	1.40
2	MIN	16	0	1.22
3	STL	10	0	0.43
3	MIN	13	0	0.96
4	STL	1	0	0.12
4	MIN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2