Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-04-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 9 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

CGY: 70.6%

ARI: 29.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.94

ARI: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

CGY

J. Markstrom

ARI

H. Sateri

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	26	25	1	96.2%	2.76	2	1.76
ARI	H. Sateri	41	32	9	78.0%	4.00	2	-5.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs ARI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-14	CGY 6 - 5 ARI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-16	CGY 3 - 2 ARI	CGY	ARI
2024-01-11	ARI 2 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY
2023-03-14	ARI 4 - 3 CGY	ARI	CGY
2023-02-22	ARI 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	22	2	1.61
1	ARI	14	0	0.99
2	CGY	17	0	1.36
2	ARI	8	0	0.57
3	CGY	18	0	1.03
3	ARI	14	2	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 9 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7